Real results through of 21 stages — and model predictions for everything still to come.

_{📊 Data: Wikipedia (cites letour.fr / Tissot timing), refreshed daily at 08:00 UTC | 🤖 ML: trained on 2020-2025 + this year's form | ✨ AI commentary: baked at build time}

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🏆 The Battle for Yellow — GC after Stage #

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📋 The Story So Far — Stage Results #

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🔮 Next Up: Stage — → #

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🎯 Stage-by-Stage Predictions for the Rest of the Tour #

_{💡 Click any row for the full per-stage prediction breakdown.}

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👑 Final Podium Forecast #

_{⚠️ Honest caveat: with only six Tours of training data, beating the "standings stay as they are" baseline on exact positions is genuinely hard — see the methodology for the numbers. The podium probabilities are the more reliable signal.}

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👕 Jersey Projections — Who Wins in Paris? #

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🔍 Rider Analysis — Form vs Expectation #

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📜 Historical Context (2020-2025) #

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🎲 Model Scorecard — Honest Numbers #

_{🧪 Tour de France stages are genuinely hard to predict — long breakaways decide many of them. These numbers are cross-validated on held-out years, not cherry-picked. Full details on the methodology page.}

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📡 Data Freshness & Sources #

_{⏰ Last refreshed: — pipeline: scripts/fetch_tdf_data.py (Wikipedia wikitext → Parquet) then scripts/train_predictions.py (train + predict). Built with Dashdown.}